3 years ago


William M. Dvoranchik, Donald R. Davis



.Inherent in every decision process is a certain amount of uncertainty, which is reduced with information. Perfect knowledge yields no uncertainty for a process, but perfect knowledge for hydrologic and water resource systems would require a highly excessive investment. Therefore, it is the aim of this paper to delineate a procedure that places a value on this uncertainty so that it may be compared to a cost of further investment, which would provide a basis for deciding the time at which the value of additional data does not exceed the cost of that data.

A decision theory approach is employed on a hydrologic problem to formalize the steps in making a decision. Examples are given.

Publisher URL: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1971.tb04981.x@10.1111/(ISSN)17521688.JAWRA55

DOI: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1971.tb04981.x@10.1111/(ISSN)17521688.JAWRA55

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